Today’s Best Bets — July 17, 2026

Today’s picks are powered by AI analysis combining live injury reports, current odds, and market data. All picks are generated automatically each morning.

Best Bets Today

  • MLB: BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves | Moneyline | Texas Rangers
  • CFL: BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Toronto Argonauts @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats | Moneyline | Toronto Argonauts
  • UFC/MMA: BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Rayla Nascimento @ Laura Grzyb | Moneyline | Laura Grzyb
  • Boxing: BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Glen Williams @ Leo Atang | Moneyline | Leo Atang
  • WNBA: BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Portland Fire @ Minnesota Lynx | Moneyline | Minnesota Lynx
  • MLS: BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Los Angeles FC @ LA Galaxy | Moneyline | Los Angeles FC
  • Liga MX: BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Santos Laguna @ Monterrey | Moneyline | Monterrey
  • AFL: BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers | Moneyline | Hawthorn Hawks
  • NRL: BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: St George Illawarra Dragons @ New Zealand Warriors | Moneyline | New Zealand Warriors

Value Bets (Higher Risk / Higher Reward)

  • MLB: VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves | Moneyline | Texas Rangers | ODDS: -104 | REASON: Atlanta’s lineup is gutted by injuries (Acuña, Murphy, Yastrzemski, Perez, Profar suspended) while Texas gets Seager back and deGrom lined up soon, making the near pick’em price on Texas good value.
  • CFL: VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Montreal Alouettes @ Calgary Stampeders | Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders | ODDS: +110 | REASON: Home underdogs with plus-money odds often provide value against a narrow road favorite.
  • UFC/MMA: VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Augusto Sakai @ Artur Szpilka | Moneyline | Augusto Sakai | ODDS: -105 | REASON: Sakai’s superior UFC-level heavyweight experience and power make him undervalued as a near-even money underdog against Szpilka.
  • Boxing: VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: David Papot @ Harlem Eubank | Moneyline | Harlem Eubank | ODDS: +110 | REASON: Eubank is fighting at home in the UK with likely crowd and hometown scoring advantage, making him live value as a slight underdog.
  • WNBA: VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever | Moneyline | New York Liberty | ODDS: -142 | REASON: Liberty’s superior roster talent and depth should prevail on the road against a Fever team still finding consistency.
  • MLS: VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Los Angeles FC @ LA Galaxy | Moneyline | Los Angeles FC | ODDS: 105 | REASON: LAFC is the market favorite despite the road trip, offering solid value at plus-money odds in a heated rivalry match.
  • Liga MX: VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: América @ Querétaro | Moneyline | América | ODDS: -105 | REASON: América is a significantly stronger squad getting near even-money odds against a struggling Querétaro side, making this a mispriced favorite.
  • AFL: VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Western Bulldogs @ Gold Coast Suns | Moneyline | Western Bulldogs | ODDS: +100 | REASON: The Bulldogs are a quality finals-contending side getting even money against an inconsistent Gold Coast team, offering strong value.
  • NRL: VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: South Sydney Rabbitohs @ Canberra Raiders | Moneyline | South Sydney Rabbitohs | ODDS: -118 | REASON: In a true pick-em game the Rabbitohs offer slightly better value than the juice on Canberra.

Full Game Analysis

MLB

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves | Moneyline | Texas Rangers
VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves | Moneyline | Texas Rangers | ODDS: -104 | REASON: Atlanta's lineup is gutted by injuries (Acuña, Murphy, Yastrzemski, Perez, Profar suspended) while Texas gets Seager back and deGrom lined up soon, making the near pick'em price on Texas good value.

GAME: San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners
PICK: Seattle Mariners
SPREAD PICK: Seattle Mariners -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.0
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Bryce Miller at home outclasses Roupp and Seattle's pitching staff has been stingy on runs.

GAME: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians
PICK: Cleveland Guardians
SPREAD PICK: Cleveland Guardians -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Gavin Williams gives Cleveland a home edge in a tight divisional matchup.

GAME: Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs
PICK: Chicago Cubs
SPREAD PICK: Chicago Cubs -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 9.0
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Cubs' lineup depth and home-field edge should overcome Ober, with both bullpens taxed enough to push the total over.

GAME: Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays
SPREAD PICK: Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 8.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Toronto's deeper lineup and home advantage offset a close ML line against a young White Sox starter.

GAME: Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies
PICK: Cincinnati Reds
SPREAD PICK: Cincinnati Reds -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 12.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Coors Field inflates scoring and Cincinnati's lineup should take advantage against Hughes.

GAME: New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies
PICK: Philadelphia Phillies
SPREAD PICK: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 8.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Phillies' strong home form and superior roster make them heavy, justified favorites over a Mets team still short several key bats.

GAME: St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
PICK: Arizona Diamondbacks
SPREAD PICK: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 9.0
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Merrill Kelly's command at home should limit a Cardinals offense missing key infield pieces.

GAME: Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves
PICK: Texas Rangers
SPREAD PICK: Texas Rangers -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 9.0
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Atlanta's injury-riddled lineup gives Texas real value even on the road against Sale.

GAME: Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros
PICK: Houston Astros
SPREAD PICK: Houston Astros +1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 8.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Home-field edge and bullpen depth give Houston a slight nod in a close, well-pitched matchup.

GAME: Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox
PICK: Boston Red Sox
SPREAD PICK: Boston Red Sox -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 9.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Late pitching changes to bullpen-style starters for both sides create volatility, favoring the over and Boston's home crowd.

GAME: San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals
PICK: San Diego Padres
SPREAD PICK: San Diego Padres -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 10.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Michael King's stuff gives San Diego a slight edge over Lugo in a low-scoring affair.

GAME: Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers
PICK: Milwaukee Brewers
SPREAD PICK: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Henderson at home and Milwaukee's deeper bullpen should contain a thin Marlins lineup.

GAME: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians
PICK: Cleveland Guardians
SPREAD PICK: Cleveland Guardians -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Same matchup logic applies with updated line — Cleveland's home edge holds.

GAME: Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees
PICK: Los Angeles Dodgers
SPREAD PICK: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 8.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Dodgers' overall roster depth and lineup balance give them the edge over a Yankees team still missing Judge and other regulars.

GAME: San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners
PICK: Seattle Mariners
SPREAD PICK: Seattle Mariners -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.0
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Updated line reflects continued confidence in Seattle's pitching advantage at home.

CFL

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Toronto Argonauts @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats | Moneyline | Toronto Argonauts
VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Montreal Alouettes @ Calgary Stampeders | Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders | ODDS: +110 | REASON: Home underdogs with plus-money odds often provide value against a narrow road favorite.

GAME: Montreal Alouettes @ Calgary Stampeders
PICK: Montreal Alouettes
SPREAD PICK: Montreal Alouettes -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 63.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Montreal's road favorite status suggests a slight edge in overall team quality, and both offenses should push the total past 63.5.

GAME: Toronto Argonauts @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats
PICK: Toronto Argonauts
SPREAD PICK: Toronto Argonauts -4.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 55.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Toronto's significant moneyline and spread favorite status indicates a clear talent gap that should control tempo and limit scoring.

UFC/MMA

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Rayla Nascimento @ Laura Grzyb | Moneyline | Laura Grzyb
VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Augusto Sakai @ Artur Szpilka | Moneyline | Augusto Sakai | ODDS: -105 | REASON: Sakai's superior UFC-level heavyweight experience and power make him undervalued as a near-even money underdog against Szpilka.

GAME: Grzegorz Stabach @ Przemyslaw Gorny
PICK: Grzegorz Stabach
SPREAD PICK: Stabach -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Odds are nearly a coin flip so this is essentially a pick'em with a razor-thin edge to Stabach.

GAME: Adam Niedzwiedz @ Mateusz Pawlik
PICK: Mateusz Pawlik
SPREAD PICK: Pawlik -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Pawlik is a clear moneyline favorite indicating stronger recent form and home support.

GAME: Ibragim Chuzhigaev @ Maciej Rozanski
PICK: Ibragim Chuzhigaev
SPREAD PICK: Chuzhigaev -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: A -200 line signals a significant talent gap in Chuzhigaev's favor.

GAME: Adam Niedźwiedź @ Mateusz Pawlik
PICK: Mateusz Pawlik
SPREAD PICK: Pawlik -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Same matchup as listed above, favoring Pawlik based on market pricing.

GAME: Edgars Skrīvers @ Sebastian Przybysz
PICK: Sebastian Przybysz
SPREAD PICK: Przybysz -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: With no odds available, home-fighter momentum in this Polish card slightly favors Przybysz.

GAME: Rayla Nascimento @ Laura Grzyb
PICK: Laura Grzyb
SPREAD PICK: Grzyb -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: A -445 price reflects a heavy mismatch in skill and experience favoring Grzyb.

GAME: Mateusz Balko @ Oskar Stachura
PICK: Oskar Stachura
SPREAD PICK: Stachura -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Stachura's clear favorite status suggests better overall skill set and finishing ability.

GAME: Augusto Sakai @ Artur Szpilka
PICK: Augusto Sakai
SPREAD PICK: Sakai +1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 1.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Sakai's heavyweight pedigree and durability give him a slight edge in a close striking battle.

GAME: Laid Zerhouni @ Bartosz Kurek
PICK: Bartosz Kurek
SPREAD PICK: Kurek -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Kurek is the modest favorite, likely due to stronger recent performances and hometown crowd backing.

GAME: Bartosz Leśko @ Rafał Haratyk
PICK: Rafał Haratyk
SPREAD PICK: Haratyk -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Lacking odds data, the home fighter Haratyk gets a slight nod based on card positioning.

GAME: Andrea Bicchi @ Leonardo Damiani
PICK: Leonardo Damiani
SPREAD PICK: Damiani -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: A -190 line shows Damiani is expected to control the pace and finish domestically.

GAME: Dominik Herold @ Arbi Chakaev
PICK: Dominik Herold
SPREAD PICK: Herold -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: A -400 favorite line indicates a significant experience and skill gap for Herold.

GAME: Ernesto Papa @ Jindrich Byrtus
PICK: Jindrich Byrtus
SPREAD PICK: Byrtus -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 1.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: This is nearly a pick'em, with Byrtus getting the slimmest of market edges.

GAME: Tomas Melis @ Toni Estorer
PICK: Tomas Melis
SPREAD PICK: Melis -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Melis is favored at -140, suggesting stronger technical advantages heading into this fight.

GAME: Damien Anderson @ Ezra Elliott
PICK: Damien Anderson
SPREAD PICK: Anderson -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Anderson holds a slight moneyline edge in what looks like a competitive matchup.

Boxing

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Glen Williams @ Leo Atang | Moneyline | Leo Atang
VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: David Papot @ Harlem Eubank | Moneyline | Harlem Eubank | ODDS: +110 | REASON: Eubank is fighting at home in the UK with likely crowd and hometown scoring advantage, making him live value as a slight underdog.

GAME: Ben Vickers @ Matty Harris
PICK: Matty Harris
SPREAD PICK: Matty Harris (heavy favorite, no spread applicable)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 6.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: The -3300 line indicates an overwhelming talent gap likely ending in an early stoppage.

GAME: Ryan Griffiths @ Codie Smith
PICK: Codie Smith
SPREAD PICK: Codie Smith (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Smith is the clear betting favorite and should find success working behind a stronger skill set.

GAME: Jake Henty @ Finley James
PICK: Finley James
SPREAD PICK: Finley James (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 6.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: The tighter odds suggest a competitive fight likely to go into the later rounds.

GAME: Mikey Sakyi @ Aaron Prospere
PICK: Aaron Prospere
SPREAD PICK: Aaron Prospere (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Prospere's significant favorite status points to a dominant, potentially early-stopping performance.

GAME: Kyran Jones @ Joel Bartell
PICK: Joel Bartell
SPREAD PICK: Joel Bartell (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 6.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Close odds suggest an evenly matched bout that could go the distance.

GAME: Jason Limon @ Charles Harris Jr
PICK: Charles Harris Jr
SPREAD PICK: Charles Harris Jr (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Harris Jr's clear favorite status suggests he should control and finish the fight before the final bell.

GAME: Yusniel Abrahante @ Luis Coria
PICK: Luis Coria
SPREAD PICK: Luis Coria (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Coria's decisive odds edge points to a stoppage win in the midrounds.

GAME: Sean Noakes @ Kieran Molloy
PICK: Kieran Molloy
SPREAD PICK: Kieran Molloy (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 6.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Tight moneyline odds imply a competitive matchup likely to see the scorecards.

GAME: Misael Cabrera @ Anthony Cuba
PICK: Anthony Cuba
SPREAD PICK: Anthony Cuba (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 6.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Cuba is favored but not overwhelmingly, suggesting a solid, extended showing.

GAME: David Papot @ Harlem Eubank
PICK: Harlem Eubank
SPREAD PICK: Harlem Eubank (home underdog)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 6.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Home advantage and close odds make this a genuine coin-flip fight likely to go longer.

GAME: Nick Jones @ Federico Pacheco Jr
PICK: Federico Pacheco Jr
SPREAD PICK: Federico Pacheco Jr (heavy favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 5.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: A -4500 line signals an extreme mismatch expected to end quickly.

GAME: Glen Williams @ Leo Atang
PICK: Leo Atang
SPREAD PICK: Leo Atang (heavy favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 5.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: The extraordinary -10000 line all but guarantees a dominant, early finish for Atang.

GAME: Jorge Alberto Ayala Lopez @ Samuel Contreras
PICK: Samuel Contreras
SPREAD PICK: Samuel Contreras (heavy favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 6.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Contreras' massive favorite status points to a comfortable, early-ending win.

GAME: Bruno Rios @ Saul Sanchez
PICK: Saul Sanchez
SPREAD PICK: Saul Sanchez (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 6.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Sanchez is favored but the moderate odds suggest a competitive fight going several rounds.

GAME: Guido Emmanuel Schramm @ Yan Marcos
PICK: Yan Marcos
SPREAD PICK: Yan Marcos (ML favorite)
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 7.5 rounds
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Marcos' strong favorite odds suggest he should be able to close the show before the final rounds.

WNBA

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Portland Fire @ Minnesota Lynx | Moneyline | Minnesota Lynx
VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever | Moneyline | New York Liberty | ODDS: -142 | REASON: Liberty's superior roster talent and depth should prevail on the road against a Fever team still finding consistency.

GAME: Connecticut Sun @ Phoenix Mercury
PICK: Phoenix Mercury
SPREAD PICK: Phoenix Mercury -6.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 158.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Mercury's home-court advantage and roster continuity give them the edge over a rebuilding Sun squad.

GAME: New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever
PICK: New York Liberty
SPREAD PICK: New York Liberty -3.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 164.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Liberty's championship-caliber talent should overcome the road environment against Indiana.

GAME: Portland Fire @ Minnesota Lynx
PICK: Minnesota Lynx
SPREAD PICK: Minnesota Lynx -14.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 161.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Minnesota's elite roster and chemistry should dominate an expansion team still gelling as a unit.

GAME: Washington Mystics @ Golden State Valkyries
PICK: Golden State Valkyries
SPREAD PICK: Golden State Valkyries -8.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 159.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Valkyries' strong home form and defensive identity should control the pace against Washington.

MLS

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Los Angeles FC @ LA Galaxy | Moneyline | Los Angeles FC
VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Los Angeles FC @ LA Galaxy | Moneyline | Los Angeles FC | ODDS: 105 | REASON: LAFC is the market favorite despite the road trip, offering solid value at plus-money odds in a heated rivalry match.

GAME: Los Angeles FC @ LA Galaxy
PICK: Los Angeles FC
SPREAD PICK: Los Angeles FC -0.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: LAFC's superior roster depth and road form make them the stronger side in this El Trafico clash.

Liga MX

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Santos Laguna @ Monterrey | Moneyline | Monterrey
VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: América @ Querétaro | Moneyline | América | ODDS: -105 | REASON: América is a significantly stronger squad getting near even-money odds against a struggling Querétaro side, making this a mispriced favorite.

GAME: Puebla @ FC Juárez
PICK: FC Juárez
SPREAD PICK: FC Juárez -0.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Juárez's home form and Puebla's inconsistent attack favor a low-scoring home win.

GAME: Pachuca @ Pumas
PICK: Pumas
SPREAD PICK: Pumas -0.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Pumas' solid home record and Pachuca's travel struggles give the edge to the hosts in a tight match.

GAME: Santos Laguna @ Monterrey
PICK: Monterrey
SPREAD PICK: Monterrey -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 2.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Monterrey's superior roster and home advantage should overwhelm a weaker Santos Laguna side.

GAME: Toluca @ Guadalajara
PICK: Guadalajara
SPREAD PICK: Guadalajara -0.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Guadalajara's attacking form at home should edge out a Toluca team that can be leaky defensively on the road.

GAME: América @ Querétaro
PICK: América
SPREAD PICK: América -1
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 2.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: América's superior talent and Querétaro's defensive frailties point to a comfortable away win.

AFL

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers | Moneyline | Hawthorn Hawks
VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: Western Bulldogs @ Gold Coast Suns | Moneyline | Western Bulldogs | ODDS: +100 | REASON: The Bulldogs are a quality finals-contending side getting even money against an inconsistent Gold Coast team, offering strong value.

GAME: Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power
PICK: Fremantle Dockers
SPREAD PICK: Fremantle Dockers -35.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 165.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Fremantle's form and the lopsided moneyline suggest a dominant road performance.

GAME: Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
PICK: Melbourne Demons
SPREAD PICK: Melbourne Demons -28.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 158.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Melbourne should control the midfield against a rebuilding North side.

GAME: Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies
PICK: Collingwood Magpies
SPREAD PICK: Collingwood Magpies -8.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 160.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Collingwood's home ground advantage and recent form edge out Carlton in a close contest.

GAME: Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles
PICK: Brisbane Lions
SPREAD PICK: Brisbane Lions -55.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 175.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Brisbane's depth and quality should overwhelm a struggling West Coast squad.

GAME: Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers
PICK: Hawthorn Hawks
SPREAD PICK: Hawthorn Hawks -65.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 170.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: Hawthorn's dominant form makes them a near lock against a rebuilding Richmond team.

GAME: Western Bulldogs @ Gold Coast Suns
PICK: Western Bulldogs
SPREAD PICK: Western Bulldogs -2.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 168.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: The Bulldogs' balanced attack should edge out Gold Coast in a competitive matchup.

GAME: Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Essendon Bombers
PICK: Greater Western Sydney Giants
SPREAD PICK: GWS Giants -45.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 172.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: GWS's superior talent and form should lead to a comfortable away win over Essendon.

NRL

BEST BET OF THE NIGHT: St George Illawarra Dragons @ New Zealand Warriors | Moneyline | New Zealand Warriors
VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT: South Sydney Rabbitohs @ Canberra Raiders | Moneyline | South Sydney Rabbitohs | ODDS: -118 | REASON: In a true pick-em game the Rabbitohs offer slightly better value than the juice on Canberra.

GAME: South Sydney Rabbitohs @ Canberra Raiders
PICK: Canberra Raiders
SPREAD PICK: Canberra Raiders -1.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 43.5
CONFIDENCE: Low
REASON: Home field edge gives Canberra a slight advantage in a genuine coin-flip matchup.

GAME: St George Illawarra Dragons @ New Zealand Warriors
PICK: New Zealand Warriors
SPREAD PICK: Warriors -13.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 45.5
CONFIDENCE: High
REASON: The Warriors' superior roster and home advantage make them heavy favorites against a struggling Dragons side.

GAME: Wests Tigers @ Canterbury Bulldogs
PICK: Canterbury Bulldogs
SPREAD PICK: Bulldogs -7.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Under 42.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Canterbury's stronger defense and home crowd should be enough to control this contest against inconsistent Wests Tigers.

GAME: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ Gold Coast Titans
PICK: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
SPREAD PICK: Sea Eagles -3.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 44.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: Manly's more experienced roster should overcome the road trip against a Titans team that's been inconsistent at home.

GAME: North Queensland Cowboys @ Dolphins
PICK: Dolphins
SPREAD PICK: Dolphins -5.5
OVER/UNDER PICK: Over 43.5
CONFIDENCE: Medium
REASON: The Dolphins' home form and balanced attack should give them the edge over a Cowboys team still finding consistency.

19+ (18+ in Alberta) | Please gamble responsibly. These picks are for informational purposes only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600.

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